World Top 10 August 2013 (Updated)

For the first time this year, the Volt family tickled the Nissan Leaf leadership

ModelsRecord Sales for the Chevrolet Volt 

Profiting from record sales in the US and in Europe, the Chevrolet Volt reached a new personal best, with 4.055 units sold in August, enough to get close for the first time this year  to the usual leader, the Nissan Leaf (4.352 units), which, with four month to go, already beaten it's personal record for YTD sales (26.973 units, established last year), being the first to do so this year.

The Prius Plug-In was third in August, performing the best sales month of the year, with 2.228 units, enough to recover another chunk of lost ground to the Tesla Model S, if the japanese car continues to press on with sales (doubt it), it might even remove the american sedan from #3 in the YTD ranking.

In the remaining ranking, the C-Max Energi profited from a year best performance (651 units) to climb to a surprising #7, surpassing both the Mitsubishi I-Miev (Another horrible month, as expected) and the Renault Kangoo ZE (A deeply unexpected and horrible month)

And the Mitsu (And the Kangoo, by the way) still has got to watch its back, because the Ford Fusion Energi is coming up strong, with a personal best in August (615 sales), now that it's got the competition for #10 behind, the midsize Ford is now looking to climb even further in the ranking.

BEV's saw their share expansion end, with PHEV's profiting from good months from their representatives to recover three points share, now at 61% BEV's vs 39% PHEV's.

PlWORLDAugustYTD%'12Pl
1Nissan Leaf4.35528.555253
2Chevrolet Volt (1)4.05517.882161
3Tesla Model S1.59012.749117
4Toyota Prius Plug-In2.22812.077112
5Renault Zoe4495.911528
6Mitsubishi Outlander Plug-In7765.0834N/A
7Ford C-Max Energi6513.65439
8Renault Kangoo ZE1713.37236
9Mitsubishi I-Miev (2)1753.37135
10Ford Fusion Energi6152.6472N/A

TOTAL17.964114.332


Manufacturers - Toyota a Surprise Third

In the Manufacturers ranking, the first two continue stable, with Nissan at the top and Chevrolet second, improving one percent to 16% share.

The real news is the third place of Toyota, climbing two positions, while Tesla keeps its fourth place, because it lost one position to Toyota but also won another at the expense of Renault, which was the loser in all these position changes, dropping two positions and ending the month in fifth. A blip for the french brand or a longer-term trend? 

Behind the seven major players, figures become a bit sketchy as one doesn't know for sure how the chinese brands are behaving, but taking in account confirmed numbers, Chery holds to #8, followed by a bullish Smart in #9 and by BYD in #10.

A curious fact is that in 8 months, 5 out of the 10 best-selling brands have already beaten their previous YTD sales records, owing three of them to new models (Outlander PHEV for Mitsubishi, Model S for Tesla and the Energi family for Ford), while Nissan profited from the Leaf price drop and Smart from the series production of its 3rd gen Fortwo ED. 

What this teaches us is that the market is starting to fragment, with new carmakers coming in (Like VW and the rest of the german squad), and existing ones responding by improving their current offer, while adding new models to their current lineup, like like Chevrolet with the Spark EV, or Ford with the Energi family, in that way expanding their sales potential for the brand.  

PlWORLDAugustYTD%'12Pl
1Nissan4.35228.555253
2Chevrolet4.15718.114161
3Toyota2.46012.860112
4Tesla1.59012.760119
5Renault85512.267114
6Mitsubishi1.03110.09185
7Ford1.4547.59877
8Chery (e)2002.20026
9Smart3101.985215
10BYD2731.85828





(1) - Includes Holden Volt, Opel and Vauxhall Ampera;
(2) - Includes Citröen C-Zero and Peugeot iOn.
(e) - Estimate


Questions for September

Will the Prius Plug-In pass the Tesla Model S? 

Which model will be #8?

Will Toyota confirm the #3?

Can Renault recover?

Can Smart attack Chery's eighth spot?







Distracted driving — the stats are alarming

I was driving to work the other day when I heard something on the radio that almost made me drop my smartphone. The Ontario Provincial Police (OPP) announced that, for the first time, deaths attributable to driver distraction outnumber those caused by impaired driving. So far this year, on roads patrolled by the OPP, distraction has led to 47 deaths, while impaired driving has led to 32.

This stat drives home the need for dramatically better head-unit integration of services that drivers would otherwise use their phones to access. This isn't anything new to QNX. We've been working with our partners to provide all the necessary elements to enable this integration through technologies such as HTML5, Qt, iPod out, MirrorLink, and Bluetooth. All these technologies can help create systems that minimize driver distraction but they represent only part of the solution. Pushing buttons on your head unit, combined with smart HMI design, does help, but it's not a panacea.

To truly help drivers keep their eyes on the road we have to minimize the time they spend looking at the infotainment display. Multi-modal HMIs built from the ground up with the assumption that high-quality speech recognition and text-to-speech are available will drastically change the way drivers interact with their infotainment systems. For instance, such HMIs could read your texts and emails aloud to you; they could even let you dictate responses at the appropriate time. But really, the possibilities are endless. And on the topic of talking to your car, we're constantly working with our partners to enrich the speech capabilities of the QNX CAR Platform. But more on that in an upcoming post.

By the way, I wasn't really using my smartphone while I was driving. That's illegal here. Not to mention incredibly dumb.

Markets Roundup August 2013

A good month for the Volt
Records Month

August was a good month for EV's, with plenty of records being beaten, so let's make a review of the main ones:

EV Monthly Sales:

USA - 11.078 Units;
Netherlands - 948 Units;
Norway - 680 Units.

Personal records:


Chevrolet Volt (USA) - 3.351 Units; 
Chevrolet Volt (Netherlands) - 479 Units;
Chevrolet Volt (Europe) - 480 Units;
Nissan Leaf (USA) - 2.420 Units;
Nissan Leaf (France) - 148 Units;
Ford Fusion Energi (USA) - 600 Units;
Smart Fortwo ED (USA) - 182 units;
Toyota RAV4 EV (USA) - 231 Units;
Tesla Model S (Norway) - 185 Units
Tesla Model S (Europe) - 267 Units.

Winner
of the Month: Chevrolet Volt 

The Chevrolet Volt had a bang up month, not only established three personal sales records (USA, Europe and Netherlands), it also collected three monthly #1's in those three markets, when last month it had...none. Good job, Chevrolet.














Trends in the G7 

The aforementioned sales boom in the USA, where things continue pretty tight between the first two, contributed greatly for the increased importance of this market in the global EV sales, in August the US EV Market represented 68%(!) of all worldwide sales. 

By the way, North America is on fire regarding plug-in sales, with just 8 months passed, not only the US has beaten their monthly record, it has also beaten the 2012 total sales number (58.802 units in '13 vs 54.950 in '12), just like Canada (2.035 vs 1.969).

In France, the Zoe is falling behind expectations, in Norway the Leaf has already beaten the previous YTD sales record for a single model (2.298 units for the Leaf in '12), with still 4 months to go and Tesla is out to get the silver medal, while in the Netherlands the Ampera/Volt twins are recovering and the Volvo V60 Plug-In is a surprise success.

The last third of the year should see sales rise sharply in markets like the Netherlands, Norway and Germany thanks to new models with long waiting lists (Outlander Plug-In, Tesla Model S, BMW i3...). 

Looking at EV shares, the only country in a downward trend is Japan, while Norway (3,73%), Holland (1,62%) and the USA (0,55%) saw their EV shares increase significantly


Other Markets

Switzerland is the second EV Market where Tesla Model S is #1, after three monthly #1's in the USA early this year, Elon Musk's baby was the best selling EV in August, with 42 units.

Iceland had another record month, with 17 units sold, while Denmark had its best month of the year, with 53 units, reinforcing the idea that countries in Northern Europe are increasingly embracing plug-ins.

It's also worth mentioning that the Russian Government purchased 70 Mitsubishi I-Miev and that 45 BYD e6 Taxis were delivered in Bogota, capital of Colombia.


Questions for September

How much more sales records will be beaten?

Who will be the US #1?

Who will be #1 in the Netherlands?

Will the Zoe recover?

Will the BMW i3 reach #1 in Germany?

In which european country will the Tesla Model S perform better?



VW Beetle Hot Rods

VW has had a bit of problem selling the Beetle to male customers and despite launching a New Beetle specifically targeted at guys, was not particularly successful.

This may change the perception of the Beetle as a "cute" car:


On closer inspection, they are not the newer versions of the Beetle but rather modified versions of the popular model.

Europe August 2013

Along with the Leaf, these were the winners of the month
Leaf Takes the Lead Edition

In another chapter in the fight between the Zoe and the Leaf, the japanese car continued to gain momentum, winning 910 vs 600 in August and reaching this month the top spot in the YTD chart. On the other hand, the Zoe is losing steam, selling half of what it did last June.

Thanks to their sales success in the Netherlands, the Volvo V60 Plug-In shoots up to #6, making Volvo the fourth best selling brand in Europe, with 6% share, below Toyota (#3 with 8%), Nissan (#2 with 23%) and Renault (#1 with 41%).

Further down the ranking, the Chevy Volt climbs three positions to #9, thanks to a record month in Holland, while the Model S from Tesla now appears on radar, in #15, but the next months most likely will see it climb several positions in the ranking.

With two third of the year gone, three models already beaten their 2012 sales record, they are the Nissan Leaf (6.364 units in '13 vs 5.290 in '12), Smart Fortwo ED (1.534 vs 994) and the Chevrolet Volt (802 vs 609).  

As i predicted earlier, GM dropped the price of the Ampera by some 7.500 euros, a much needed shot in the arm for that model, now that new competition (Stand up, BMW i3) is entering the market.

PlEuropeJulyYTD%'12Pl
1Nissan Leaf9426.364234
2Renault Zoe4495.9192121
3Renault Kangoo ZE e)1713.369123
4Toyota Prius Plug-In1662.38285
5Renault Twizy e)2502.18481
6Volvo V60 Plug-In 1821.543522
7Smart Fortwo ED1131.534512
8Opel Ampera1401.42052
9Chevrolet Volt480802311
10Mitsubishi I-Miev5557228
11Citröen C-Zero1539816
12Goupil G330379114
13Bolloré Blue Car2028819
14
15
Peugeot iOn
Tesla Model S
18
240
253
252
1
1
7
N/A

TOTAL3.38028.237


e) Estimate





The Citroën C Elysée

Sebastian Loeb and Team Citroën unveiled the new C Elysée car and preview WTCC season at the Frankfurt Motor show 2013.

The Citroën C-Elysée WTCC is the very first vehicle to be designed in accordance with the new FIA regulations for the category, will be driven in the the World Touring Car Championship in 2014 by Sébastien Loeb.

The model is a C-segment saloon aimed principally at high-growth, international markets such as those in Latin America, the Mediterranean region, China and Russia.

According to Citroën, it is 30% ahead of its initial sales target, with 30,000 orders placed.

The car features 18-inch wheels, an integrated aerodynamic splitter, and widened front and rear wings.

The Citroën C-Elysée WTCC is powered by the same 1.6-litre direct injection turbocharged engine as the DS3 WRC. With a wider booster flange, power output is now close to 380bhp. The car comes with a front-wheel drive transmission, controlled by a six-speed sequential gearbox.

Switzerland August 2013

First EV sales champion in Switzerland: The 2010 Think City

Tesla #1 Edition

Another good month for EV's in Switzerland, with 129 units sold, pushing the EV share to 0,36%, closer to the 0,41% of last year.

The big surprise was the #1 spot for the Tesla Model S in the monthly ranking, confirming my suspicion that Tesla would do well here. In the YTD chart is now sixth, but it's expected that in the end of the year it reaches the podium.

In the YTD ranking, the Renault Zoe is now in #1, tied with its stablemate, the Twizy, which has been losing steam.

Stable at #3 is the Nissan Leaf, with an average result of 23 units, just like  the rest of the ranking, which is more or less the same.

PlSwitzerlandAugustYTD%'12Pl
1Renault Zoe311642211
2Renault Twizy e)15164221
3Nissan Leaf23136196
4Mitsubishi I-Miev986125
5Opel Ampera65072
6Tesla Model S42456N/A
7Chevrolet Volt
3556
8Citröen C-Zero
2034
9Fisker Karma21328
10Peugeot iOn1819
11Renault Fluence ZE
617
12Tesla Roadster
3010
13Think City
3012

TOTAL129733100

e) Estimate

Source: auto-suisse.ch

Seminar: managing the growing amount of software in cars

It’s no secret that the amount of software in automobiles is growing rapidly — as is the challenge of maintaining it reliably and efficiently. At QNX Software Systems we focus on areas like infotainment, telematics, clusters, and ADAS, but our long-term FOTA partner, Red Bend Software, takes a more holistic view, working with companies like Vector Informatik to extend FOTA all the way down to ECUs.

To help automakers and tier one suppliers manage their software deployments more efficiently, Red Bend is hosting a seminar Friday September 27 at the Westin Southfield Detroit. Speakers will include representatives from Strategy Analytics, Texas Instruments, and Vector, not to mention our own Andy Gryc. You can register on the Red Bend website.

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